A warm and settled week

Today, earlier low cloud has lifted to leave a largely dry and settled day with bright or sunny spells for many. Some areas of low cloud and patchy drizzle will persist around southwestern coasts, and the northwest will be cloudier with patchy rain. It will feel very warm in places, with maximum temperatures of 28°C in London and mid-20s across the eastern half of the UK.

Tonight will remain largely dry with cloud thickening in the far west and northwest though giving patchy rain.

Tomorrow, patchy fog in the south will clear to leave a fine day with light winds and further warm spells of sunshine. Scotland and Northern Ireland will see cloudier conditions and some showery rain – perhaps even heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms for parts – on Tuesday afternoon. The highest temperatures are again expected in the southeast, where they could peak at 30°C in London. Elsewhere, temperatures widely looking at 25 to 28°C.

Wednesday looks to be the warmest day of the week for many with mid-to-high 20°Cs widely. Parts of the southeast could reach 31°C. However, it will be a cloudier start for many parts of the north/northeast with some light rain or drizzle in places helping to subdue temperatures there. Through the afternoon, some extremely isolated heavy showers are also possible across some western areas such as northern Wales and northwestern England.

Mark Sidaway is a Deputy Chief Meteorologist at the Met Office and said: “Although we are expecting to see some very warm temperatures this week, it may not be the wall-to-wall sunshine and blue skies people are expecting as there is likely to be some cloud around in places.

“Some areas, mainly central and eastern England, will see temperatures which exceed the heatwave criteria. To be officially recognised as a ‘heatwave’ though, the temperature must be reached for three consecutive days.

“Although we are looking to enjoy some nice warm temperatures, the weather this week does not look particularly exceptional or extreme.”

The heatwave threshold varies by county, with geographical differences reflecting the differences in climate across the UK.

Change in the weather from Thursday

A transition to fresher conditions is looking likely through Thursday, with a cold front bringing a band of cloud and showery rain running east/southeast across the country.

It will still feel very warm ahead of this, with the southeast hanging on to the warmth and sunshine. There is also a chance of isolated heavy showers and thunderstorms developing during the afternoon.

By Friday, fresher conditions are likely to be established across all areas, with temperatures near or a little below average in the northwest, and near or a little above average in the southeast. There will also be plenty of dry weather with sunny spells, although showers and breezy conditions most likely in the north/northwest.

Glastonbury Festival outlook

With lots of attention on Somerset as Glastonbury kicks off, the weather is likely to be mostly warm, dry and settled. On Wednesday we’re likely to see hotter temperatures of 25°C to 27°C in Somerset as the sunny weather continues and although it’s not impossible a heavy shower could develop, it’s more likely to remain dry.

On Thursday as the cold front progresses south-eastwards, it will bring cloudier and slightly breezier conditions through the day and possibly some light rain in the afternoon.

Friday through to Sunday are forecast to be dry days with sunny spells and light winds, although there is some uncertainty still and so the odd shower is possible. Temperatures throughout this period are to be around or slightly above average, with approximate maximum temperatures of 20°C to 22°C.

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